North Carolina Moves to Toss Up; Minnesota and New Hampshire Shift to Likely Democrat

Since the beginning of this cycle, Democrats were confident that President Joe Biden could win North Carolina. Its demographic profile as an ethnically diverse and rapidly suburbanizing state looks similar to other former Republican-leaning Sun Belt states that Democrats have flipped over the last few cycles, like Georgia, Arizona and Virginia. Moreover, Donald Trump won North Carolina by just over one point in 2020, his smallest margin of victory in any state that year.

Aug 28, 2024 - 00:30
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North Carolina Moves to Toss Up; Minnesota and New Hampshire Shift to Likely Democrat
Since the beginning of this cycle, Democrats were confident that President Joe Biden could win North Carolina. Its demographic profile as an ethnically diverse and rapidly suburbanizing state looks similar to other former Republican-leaning Sun Belt states that Democrats have flipped over the last few cycles, like Georgia, Arizona and Virginia. Moreover, Donald Trump won North Carolina by just over one point in 2020, his smallest margin of victory in any state that year.

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